Game 12: Duke
Date/Time/Location: 11.30.2019, 15:30, A long walk from a locker room in Durham, NC
|11/24/19||T||Robert Kraeling||Leg||is “?” Saturday vs Miami Florida|
|10/09/19||WR||Jarett Garner||ACL||is out for season|
|10/01/19||RB||Brittain Brown||Shoulder||is out for season|
|09/06/19||TE||Jake Marwede||Knee||is out indefinitely|
|09/06/19||RB||Marvin Hubbard III||Achilles||is out indefinitely|
|08/23/19||LB||Koby Quansah||Thumb||is out indefinitely|
Miami leads the all-time series 13-3 but one of those 3 was last year after Duke won 20-12 in Miami. Miami statistically dominated the game last year, but could not find the end zone. No surprise, as nothing has really changed a year later. When Duke has a winning record, the game is usually close. When Duke has a losing record, Miami usually blows out Duke. This year, Duke has a losing record, so maybe Vegas is onto something.
Duke comes into this game 4-7 overall, 2-5 in the ACC, and with no shot at a bowl game, this weekend will be their bowl game. This is another way of saying that the fans of Duke football have already turned their attention to Duke basketball, which is really a tough spot for them since Duke just lost at home as a 27 point favorite to Stephen F. Austin. Of course, if Duke were to beat Miami, they would pipe back up but after last week, does it even mean anything? I digress. Duke football. At one point Duke was 4-2 coming off a double digit victory over Georgia Tech, looking like they may play spoiler in the ACC. If you can do math and are paying attention, you know that means they have not won a game since. Only one of those losses was by less than double digits (UNC), and three of those losses were by 30 points+ (including two to bad teams in Syracuse and NC State).
I could tell you that Duke has one of the statistically worst offenses in all of college football, and has trouble moving the ball on anyone with a pulse. I could also tell you that Duke’s defense is marginally better than the offense, but has been dragged out on the field so much in tough positions that they routinely capitulate. Similar to the Al Golden era Hurricanes. But really, at this point, we’re at the very end of the season, we know Duke is not any good, and Miami has lost 8 of its last 13 games as a favorite, and lost three games as a 15+ point favorite this year. So does it matter? No. Good luck seeing who shows up this weekend, but I’m guessing there will be more people at the Friday night Duke basketball game than the football game on Saturday, and Cameron Indoor does not hold that many people.
What to Expect This Week
I pretty much laid out my thoughts on this one in the “About Duke” section. Miami is infinitely better than Duke, and yet decidedly not better than Duke. Miami should win this game by double digits, but they’ve failed to win, much less cover the spread, in every single one of these opportunities this year. I somewhat expect Miami to play decently well on Saturday, just because of all the “noise” about this past week. I also think very few people outside of diehard Miami fans will even pay attention to what transpires.
If JT had decided to stick with the Canes losing shtick, he would have notched a major upset. Instead, everyone takes losses both straight up and against the spread.
|Straight Up||Against the Spread|
Miami 27, Duke 14
Miami wins this game, probably rather easily. At least people stop talking about playing Alabama in a month’s time. This should set us up rather nicely to get sent to El Paso or somewhere north for the bowl game, at which point we will get set up against a team that will enjoy playing us physical and dominating us into another postseason loss. Happy Holidays!
Miami 34, Duke 17
Duke won’t be in a bowl game, so this is their last game. I don’t know where the Canes are mentally. Beating Duke won’t accomplish anything, and losing to them would exacerbate everything. There have definitely been motivational issues this year, but that is not the only problem. The Canes are just not a good football team. Duke is worse, but that doesn’t seem to matter. Duke wins in Durham as the Canes sleepwalk to another loss.
Duke 27, Miami 21